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Mario Chalmers @ New York $4,000
Memphis goes into New York tonight as a 3 point underdog, and Mario Chalmers has dropped to $4,000 after a mind-numbing 3 game skid earning a total of 10 points. Perhaps he’s still suffering from an ankle injury that occurred against Brooklyn, so he’s still a risk at PG with so many other solid options available. Still, with lines like 21 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists against Portland, and 6 points, 4 steals, 8 assists, and 4 rebounds against Houston so far this season. $4,000 seems like a price-point he could smash tonight on the road at New York, especially when his salary was above $6,000 just last week. New York is actually only allowing 102 points a game over their last 3, so it’s reasonable that Chalmers might have the incentive to be more aggressive on offense if Tyreke Evans struggles. I project his ownership percentage tonight to be less than 5%, and he would be a home run pick-up if he can score over 30 FDP. Prediction 25+ FDP
Avery Bradley @ Milwaukee $4,900
It’s easy to look at a player of Avery Bradley‘s caliber and wonder why he’s currently priced under $5k. But from looking over his last 3 games, he’s on a skid averaging barely 7 points a game, with no blocks and steals in his last 2 which is troubling considering he’s got a great defensive reputation. However, with Value-Reflecting-Salary of 24.5 FDP against a team that Bradley has already put up 35.9 FDP points against earlier this year on the road, it’s hard to look away from him at your SG slot in the same matchup. Milwaukee is a highly guard-contrarian matchup for any team with their length, but that makes for just the right type of matchup for Avery Bradley who can give Detroit a spark on offense when they’re struggling to get it going from Tobias Harris and Reggie Jackson. Bradley may not put up gargantuan numbers tonight, but if he can do 30 FDP or above, I would consider that a back-on-track game for him. Prediction: 27+ FDP
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist vs. Golden State $5,400
Remember Mkg’s 22 point, 6 rebound game against Cleveland? I like him again here in another big game at home to mirror Kevin Durant’s usage-gravity and attempt to match him by being more aggressive on offense. Kidd-Gilchrist is a very underwhelming option in terms of stats other than rebounds and steals for his position, but with 6 seasons of experience to his name, I like him to be one of Charlotte’s most effective options against a Curry-less Warriors team. Golden State is 3rd from league worst in turnovers with 16.5 a game and a lot of those 3 point opportunities are likely to be picked up by Kidd-Gilchrist. With Curry out, I can see Golden State having ball-movement issues which should hopefully yield to a boost in steals for Charlotte across the board. With Value-Reflecting-Salary of 27 FDP, I like Kidd-Gilchrist to have something in the 33 FDP range with his sharpest uptick being in steals and points. Prediction: 30+ FDP
Trey Lyles @ New Orleans $4,600
Lyles is a good candidate to get an exceptional boost in usage with Nikola Jokic and Paul Millsap out. He will need to help Mason Plumlee out with DeMarcus Cousins in the paint, as preventing him from being a major problem under the rim is sure to be a trial for Denver. Lyles at $4,600 is about the price point I look at when trying to identify up-and-comers, and I think Lyles should see a period of increased usage while Jokic and Millsap are out. Lyles Per-36-minute stats are great with numbers 17 points, 8.5 rebounds a game, and 1.5 blocks a game. He has much incentive to fight for something in the ballpark of that tonight. New Orleans is currently allowing 118 points a game over their last 3 games, which has my fantasy compass pointing to Lyles to see a boost in FDP in the 3 aforementioned categories. He deserves a look to see what type of player he can become for Denver as he’s finally able to see some breathing room at the typically log-jammed Power Forward position in Denver. Look for him to cash in something in like 30+ FDP, while Mason Plumlee is busy with Cousins. Prediction: 30+
DeMarcus Cousins vs. Denver $11,300
DeMarcus Cousins should not only see a huge boost in usage with no Anthony Davis, but his salary is weighted heavily on his play alongside him. So it’s reasonable to assume he should have a monster night against the Nuggets who have allowed over 110 points over their last 3 games. Cousins’ just continues to be one of the best, if not the best fantasy big man this season, even when he was playing with Anthony Davis. His season averages of 25.3 points, 12.3 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.5 blocks makes him an intriguing play on virtually any night. Now with Davis not being a factor tonight against this Denver team currently in disarray, missing Paul Millsap and now Nikola Jokic. Cousins is at a discount here considering what he brings to the table for New Orleans. He still continues to shine on every front for the Pelicans being their leader in 3 pointers made per game as a center. With Value-Reflecting-Salary of 56.5 FDP, this is obtainable for Boogie by the end of the 3rd quarter. So it’s hard to look away from him at your center slot. There’s sure to be other good plays at Center tonight, but for that $11.5k price-tag against these Nuggets, and no Davis, I’m going to save myself time here and go all-in with Cousins. Prediction: 65+ FDP