The PGA Tour is in Canada this week as the RBC Canadian Open is set to commence in Oakville, Ontario. The course that is hosting the event is Glen Abbey Golf Course. Glen Abbey has hosted the most Canadian Opens, with 27 to date. It is a Par 72 measured at approximately 7,250 yards. Par 5s are very crucial this week as there are four of them in play each round. This is very vital to consider because most of the tournaments as of late have been Par 70s and less Par 5s being played. The last two winners at this event, respectively, have been Jhonattan Vegas and Jason Day. The key statistics at this course, other than Par 5 BoB%, are scrambling, SG:Off-the-Tee, and since there are a lot of Par 4s within the 400-450 yard range, we will be looking at Par 4 efficiency (400-450 yards). Now let’s get into some picks!
High Price Tier ($9,000 +)
Tony Finau: DK $9,500 FD $9,200
Finau has been playing very consistently as of late. Not only has he made 7 consecutive cuts, but 6 of these finishes have been in the Top 30. Most recently at the Open Championship, Finau finished T27 with the third fewest birdies in the field. Overall, a pretty good showing in a very difficult field. This week is much less difficult as Dustin Johnson is the only top 10 OGWR ranked golfer competing. This gives Finau some pretty hefty upside. Moreover, Finau has participated at this event in each of the last two years and has done okay for himself. He has made the cut both times, finishing T22 in 2015 and T70 last year. As for his course fit, Finau’s statistical profile shows he suits this course incredibly well. He ranks 9th in the entire PGA in Par 5 BoB% with a flat 50% make rate. As for Par 4s between 400-450 yards, Finau ranks 8th in the PGA with a scoring average of 3.945. In scrambling, although not exceptional, Finau ranks above average at 62nd best in the PGA. Lastly, with his whopping driving power, Finau ranks a fitting 4th best in the PGA in SG:Off-the-tee. Despite struggling with accuracy, he hits the green over 70% of time which is 6th best in the PGA. Overall, I expect Finau to finish within the Top 10 this week in one of the weaker field events this season.
Middle Price Tier ($7,000 – $9,000)
Luke List: DK $7,600 FD $6,000
Every time I see a tournament where the field is pretty weak and Par 5’s are crucial for success, I always look towards Luke List. Despite some struggles as of late, List has made 2 of his last 4 cuts. Most recently at the John Deere Classic, List was able to make 2 eagles in spite of his T68 finish. Many of his recent tournaments have been Par 70 courses anyways. List has proven to have much more success on Par 72 courses. List has competed at the Par 72 Glen Abbey Golf Club in two of its last three occurrences at the Canadian Open(2016 and 2013). He performed phenomenally in both appearances finishing T14 last year and T21 in 2013. The main reason he is doing so well is his astonishing skill to drive the ball long distances and consequently have an advantage on Par 5 holes. On the season, List ranks 3rd in Par 5 scoring average and 6th in Par 5 BoB% as he converts 52.69% of the time. Furthermore, he is 12th in the PGA in SG:Off-the-Tee. He is above tour average [4.047] in Par 4 efficiency (400-450) as he ranks 56th best with a scoring average of 4.009.Lastly, despite scrambling not being his bright spot (ranks 133rd), List has a decent SG:Around-the-Green ranking as he is 62nd in the PGA. I forsee List putting his recent struggles behind him and also continuing his string of great finishes here at the RBC Canadian Open.
Low Price Tier (<$7,000)
Brandon Hagy: DK $6,900 FD $5,400
After a rough start to his PGA rookie season, Hagy has been heating up as of late. He has made 5 of his last 6 cuts, including 4 straight. He has placed in the Top 50 in each of his last 3 tournaments. Despite having never played at the RBC Canadian Open in his career, Hagy maintains some decent statistics to solidify great course fit. First off, he leads the tour in driving distance so , automatically, it should signify great strengths in SG:Off-the-Tee, and Par 5 scoring. It certainly is this way with Hagy as he ranks 24th in SG:Off-the-Tee , 10th in Par 5 scoring average and 22nd in Par 5 BoB%. Moreover, being a power golfer, Hagy has been showing some impressive short-game prowess as of late. At the greenbrier tournament in early July, Hagy ranked in the top 10 in SG:Around-the-Green. On the season, Hagy is 76th in scrambling and 78th in SG:Around-the-Green. For the way he is playing, and also having a high chance to make the cut at this weaker field event, Hagy is a great value option this week.
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As our main PGA writer, Gabriel D’Antonio knows all the ins and outs of golf. As a team golfer for many years, Gabriel knows how to spot the best PGA players. And as a fantasy sports player, Gabriel knows the ins and outs of winning! Check out his articles when it comes time for the pros to hit the links.